Can AI guess which number will come up in the lottery?

Some media outlets in Costa Rica use that question to attract readers. At Caja de Arena, we set out to experiment with the premise and these are our results.

Earlier experiments

Agents

The Door No One Closed

For a week, artificial intelligence agents worked locked in a digital «cage», with a credential that wasn't part of their assigned tasks and an instruction asking them not to use it. What happened? We tell you in the following report.

Completed

Artificial Intelligence

What the State's digital storefront reveals

An automated measurement using artificial intelligence evaluated the websites of 338 Costa Rican public institutions. The results show an extended technical foundation, gaps concentrated in accessibility and privacy, and a weaker-than-expected relationship between transparency and digital quality.

Running

Artificial Intelligence

The country that asks the machine for the winning number

A preliminary analysis of 9,025 news articles published between January and September 2026 shows abundant conversation, optimistic and curiously detached from the country. When AI becomes local, it usually appears as an announcement, ban, or lottery number. Public policy almost never enters the scene.

Running

Short notes

All notes

AI has rights. The journalist does not

Recently, Anthropic updated its usage policies to prohibit cruel treatment toward Claude, its artificial intelligence model. The system can even terminate a conversation when the user becomes…

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No room for error

Artificial intelligence can accelerate learning for those starting out or take away the work where learning happens. Costa Rica needs to know which of the two things is happening in its labor force.

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One hundred meters south of the gap

AILA identifies which AI capabilities the country lacks to take advantage of artificial intelligence; the Human Development Atlas shows where. Combined, they stop being diagnostics and become a tool…

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The law that will be born obsolete

On Wednesday, September 16, Geoffrey Hinton walked out of a closed-door meeting at the Capitol and set a deadline for the U.S. Congress: "maybe a year" . A year to install guardrails on systems that…

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What Estonia Decided Not to Legislate

A software agent gains access to a corporate account. It executes a transfer, accepts the terms of another service, contracts a second system, and triggers damage. No person pressed "confirm" at that…

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